Low Expectations make Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) a Defensive Tech Stock with Potential for Upside

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This short article initially appeared on Merely Wall St News.

Very last week Micron Technological innovation ( NASDAQ:MU ) introduced next quarter final results. The outcomes ended up comfortably in advance of forecasts, and direction for the third quarter was lifted. Soon after to begin with gaining 4.7%, the share selling price tracked the sector reduce.

Micron has really reduced expectations priced into its existing valuation. At the identical time, knowledge heart need seems to be more robust than expected , and if that proceeds expectations could strengthen meaningfully.

Next quarter final results at a look:

  • EPS: $2.14, up 118% yr on 12 months and 16 cents in advance of consensus estimates.

  • GAAP EPS: $2.00, up 277% year on year and 16 cents ahead of consensus estimates.

  • Profits: $7.78 bln, up 24.8% year on yr and $244 mln far better than anticipated.

  • Desire and rates for NAND and DRAM memory chips continue to rise.

  • Knowledge middle need for memory and storage is envisioned to outpace broader markets around up coming decade.

  • Third quarter steerage: Revenue estimate raised from $8.1 bln to ~$8.7 bln and EPS from $2.21 to ~$2.33.

Micron’s close to-expression outlook has enhanced, though it can be unlikely to match the final quarter’s earnings progress. But what seriously issues for traders is the anticipations that are presently priced into the stock and how they might improve about time.

How does Micron Measure up towards the Tech Sector and Semiconductor Industry?

If you look at the Simply just Wall St Marketplaces site , you can watch the selling price-to-earnings ratio and forecast earnings progress premiums for every single sector, and for each individual marketplace within each individual sector.

We can see that the normal P/E ratio for semiconductor stocks is 22x, which is the third cheapest among the 6 industries, and considerably reduce than the software marketplace which is at 37.3x.

When we seem at forecast progress rates, the semiconductor field is predicted to expand at 15.4%, which is only slightly lessen than the software package and electronic machines industries.

We can also mix the P/E ratio and expansion forecast by calculating a ‘PEG’ (P/E to Advancement) ratio. By dividing the P/E ratio by the expected progress fee we arrive at values that are a lot easier to examine . We can add Micron to the list two to see how it compares to the market, the tech sector, and the semiconductor field.

Micron Technology PEG ratio

Micron Technological know-how PEG ratio

The existing PEG ratios advise that the semiconductor marketplace is much more favorably valued relative to growth anticipations than all the tech industries aside from digital tools. This doesn’t indicate semiconductor stocks will carry out far better, but that anticipations relative to forecasts are currently decreased.

Micron Technology’s P/E and PEG propose anticipations are even decreased. The current forecast EPS expansion price for the up coming couple of decades is 19.9%. Even though EPS elevated by 182% over the very last calendar year, analysts are expecting a sharp slowdown in the following couple several years.

Demand from customers and charges for memory and storage chips is cyclical, so revenues are generally lumpy. In fact it can be tough to forecast demand far more than a 12 months or two in advance, so analyst estimates are understandably conservative – and their forecasts are probable to improve. The great information for buyers is that these forecasts are small, and the latest P/E is reduced relative to individuals forecasts.

What does this indicate for buyers?

The base line listed here is that Micron is at the moment observing potent demand for its products, when the market’s anticipations for the long run are very low. This contrasts with a good deal of other technologies stocks that have optimistic forecasts and even far more optimistic valuations. This indicates downside for Micron could be minimal, when there is probable for considerable upside if the longer-term outlook enhances.

To find out much more about the company, have a look at our hottest investigation for Micron Technological know-how . You can use the Merely Wall St Screener to come across other semiconductor stocks with strong fundamentals.

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Merely Wall St analyst Richard Bowman and Simply Wall St have no situation in any of the firms described. This write-up is normal in character. We give commentary dependent on historical details and analyst forecasts only using an impartial methodology and our article content are not meant to be money guidance. It does not constitute a advice to get or provide any inventory and does not acquire account of your targets, or your economic scenario. We goal to deliver you very long-phrase concentrated assessment pushed by essential facts. Observe that our analysis could not element in the newest selling price-sensitive corporation bulletins or qualitative product.